Four Hour Work Week followup

In February’s monthly Newsletter I referred to a book I had finished on my vacation called The Four Hour Work Week by Timothy Ferriss and several people had mentioned they were having problems locating it. It was quite popular at the time and is still very popular, but is in stock in many places now.

If you haven’t found it yet here is a quick link to Amazon where you can order it and have it sent directly to your home.

The part I like about this is I can have a steady stream of books arriving on my doorstep, I get better prices at Amazon than locally, I can order books at 11:00 at night so it’s on my time schedule, and if I order over a certain dollar limit (typically three books), I get free freight.

Watch for other recommendations soon as I have a new stack of books that I am starting shortly. Also, here is a link back to the original article I wrote, https://www.investors.housez.ca/?page_id=40

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A walk through video on how the sub-prime mess came about

There seems to be a myriad of questions about the sub-prime issues in the US and the following video covers off what the problem

The Sub Prime Crisis

Hopefully this makes it much clearer. Enjoy.

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$100 Oil, Again

So we have broken the $100 a barrel price point for oil again, is it a trend? Will it happen again? From everything we see and the demand worldwide for oil, this appears to be a more realistic trend for the next year or two.

One week we have Hugo Chavez of Venezuela telling the U.S. he won’t ship anymore oil to the States, then there are more kidnappings of oil workers in Nigeria, add in the non-stop on again off again religious wars in the Middle East and no wonder the oil prices go up and down so much.

Uncertainty may be padding the price by $10 a barrel or more, but many of these uncertain times are just a matter of time before they have direct implications on the world supply of oil. China and India are still steamrolling ahead with their economies and this just points to continued needs for more oil. Fear of supply disruptions and strong demand will make for a very interesting year.

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Stocks plunge, Dow’s biggest percentage drop in a year!

Just think, overnight a small group made a decision based on “an unexpected contraction in the service sector” that affects millions of investors. Of course the people at the top of the food chain, with all the money, may have not been affected quite as much as the small individual with his or her RRSP’s and mutual fund investments invested in stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average. 

Does it scare you that you have no control over something like this? This is why Real Estate can be so safe and secure an investment. Decisions that affect Real Estate generally takes months to trickle down and affect pricing. Sure you see up swings and down swings in property values, but this is over months and years not day to day.

With the US recession jitters, who knows what will happen to the markets, over time they will balance out, but at what cost to your portfolio? It’s a catch-22 situation, do you sell while everyone else is selling and lose money, or do you hang on until it rebounds. If you do sell, what do you buy, gold, silver, bonds? Or perhaps you take a serious look at Real Estate investments. Think about it, has anything else gone up over the years as consistently as your own home?

We have had some hiccups, but the future sure looks bright in Alberta for the next five to seven years, if not even longer. Maybe the stock market shake up is the push you needed to look at something new and get started.

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$100 Oil and the New Power Brokers

The Financial Post has a great article from a few days ago about how $90-100 for a barrel of oil has changed power levels of certain countries. It is a very interesting read, here are some excerpts;

“As oil was on its way to US$100 in 2007, it piled wealth and power on big oil producers Venezuela, Iran, Russia, the Arabian Gulf and, perhaps most notably, Canada, while taking it away from big consumer nations such as the United States.”

For Ron Brenneman, the CEO of Petro-Canada, one telling event illustrating oil’s new power was when some of the world’s top central bankers flew to Canada this summer to visit the oilsands after holding their annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyo.”

“Normally, central bankers are looking at money flows – trade balances, inbalances, that sort of thing,” Mr. Brenneman said. “They have come to the realization now that oil flows and imbalances have become so important that they needed to get a better understanding of that. There was in that group some skepticism about whether the oilsands was real or not because it’s becoming a bigger player in the whole worldwide supply. Of the 20 central bankers, 12 of them came up on the weekend to go on a tour. That was quite telling to me.”

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Handy Rent Analyzer

At the latest Real Estate Investment Network (REIN) meeting we were shown a very handy tool to confirm whether your rents are inline with the other nearby properties. If you are currently a rental property owner or a tenant wondering if your rent is in line, you will love this tool.

All you need to do is plug in an address, city, state or province and zip or postal code, current rent, number of bedrooms and type of building and back come comparisons so you know whether your rent is above market, below market, or right in line.

The link is http://www.rentometer.com/ Let me know what you think about it. Be patient with it right now as there are 2500 plus REIN members who just found out about it and the server seems to be a bit taxed right now and slower than usual!

 

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Who says houses aren’t selling?

What an amazing couple of weeks. We have sold our second property this month within days of listing them within our Realtor Stef Lukas. The first one we listed with Stef on the 11th of this month, he had his first Open House on Saturday and a Realtor showed up about half an hour early with a client. We had an offer back within the first hour of the Open House!

 By 5:00 that day we had negotiated back and forth a bit and finalized the sale, for only $2,000 less than we listed it for! The other bonus was posession would be in only six weeks which was perfect for us.

The second property we listed yesterday with Stef and intentionally set the price about $5,000 less than it should have started at, just to create interest in the property. Well we signed at 11:00 in the morning, the first Realtor went through around 2:00 and we had an offer for me to review by 7:30. After about twenty minutes of negotiating, another property sold, this one for $1,900 less than list price, but possession only four weeks away!

We still have a couple more properties to sell off and they might be a bit harder as one is a high end property which means a much smaller market for buyers and the other is in need of renovations, but we simply don’t have the time or the crews to get the work done right now. Know anyone looking for a handyman special? They will take a bit longer, but we understand why.

If it looks like we are bailing on the market don’t worry, we are just cleaning up some underperforming rentals right now and we will be clearing up debt with the profits. Once that is taken care of we will use the remainder to see if we can add two or three new properties to our portfolio that fit our systems better.

In reflection, why did our properties sell so quick when the average days on the market is still increasing from the current 32 days? One technique we used on the first property was hiring stagers to set up the property. Dena and Corrine of Simply Chic did a great job of making the property look fantastic and made a great impression on the few people who were able to see it. I highly recommend their services!

Both properties were just renovated with all new flooring, paint, fixtures and other updates. This made them look great to start with. We also priced the properties at the current market pricing, not at what they worth six months ago. This might be a key factor.

Many properties that are up for sale now, or have been put up for sale over the last several months are simply over priced. Especially with all the inventory available. Sometimes it is due to home owners requiring every penny out of their properties for the new home they bought or is being built. Sometimes it is do to home owner pride. They feel their home is better than the neighbours house that sold for a certain amount and it would damage their pride to sell it for less.

We are in an enviable position as we can remove the emotional aspect and take our profits and move on. The market is currently in a holding pattern, but with the still hot economy it will be a matter of time before we see another run up in prices. Although nothing like 2006, it should still be a good 10% or more for 2008. Since we buy property for the long term we just turn our profit into more properties and continue on our merry way.

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Sub-Prime crisis in the US and possibly Canada?

I just read a great article that really explains how the Sub-Prime mortgage market created it’s own set of problems in the US. It was written by Don Campbell President of the Real Estate Investment Network (REIN) and really clarifies some things.

You can read the article at this link to the national post, http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=03d97289-ec96-4d8b-a1fd-d41f8d1c48ed

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Flipping Houses Part 2, Financing

So, your current ambition is to buy a property to fix and flip to make a pile of money. One of the first things you need to worry about is where you will get the money to purchase the property.

If you are independently wealthy it won’t be much of a problem, go ahead and just write a check to pay for any property you want. If you are like the majority of us though, you will need some help.

There are three separate areas where you will need funding to make the deal work. Mortgages, Cash to Mortgage (including closing costs) and Renovation Money.

Typically, Flippers put mortgages on the property they are buying so they can leverage their money. Mortgages on a flip property in Canada usually range from 80% of the purchase price, down to as low as 50% of the purchase price. This depends on the credit worthiness of the purchaser and rules of the lender. You as the purchaser must come up with whatever percentage is left (cash to mortgage), along with any extra costs associated with the purchase. These extra costs could include appraisal fees, inspection fees, lawyer’s fees, and several other small fees that love to eat at your wallet.

There are some new mortgage products that are coming out in Canada that allow you to finance the property slightly higher than 80%, but these involve extra insurance fees and costs that can impact your end profit. At this point, it is very important to disclose that the mortgages you will be getting ARE NOT homeowners mortgages, unless you intend to move in and live there while you flip. Generally you will be getting flipping mortgages, which typically have higher interest rates, possibly higher set up costs and more hoops to jump through.

If you are flipping the property, and not planning on living in it, you are committing fraud if you sign any paperwork saying you are living there. Even if your mortgage person tells you that you only have to sleep over-night there to qualify, it is fraud. Your intent was to flip, not live there, so make sure your lender is aware of that and everything is on the table. Saving a couple percentage points on a mortgage you will only hold for six months or less isn’t worth going to jail for is it?

The second area of funding is the Cash to Mortgage and associated closing costs. If we use an example of a $400,000 property and a 75% mortgage or Loan to Value ratio (LTV), your numbers would look like this.

Total Price $400,000
75% mortgage $300,000
Cash to Mortgage $100,000
Appraisal $250-500
Lawyers Fees $600-1,500
Insurance $700-2,000
Total CTM and Associated Costs $101,550-104,000

Appraisals, Lawyer Fees and Insurance costs can range dramatically depending on the property and the lender, so be aware and budget for more than you expect. If you budget an extra 5% on top, you won’t have any surprises that will knock your feet out or worse yet cost you the deal. Then if you don’t need it, you can simply carry it over to our next topic, Renovation Funds!

Renovation Funds can be the trickiest part of the whole project and can make or break your profit piggy bank. If you blow your renovation budget, the only place the shortfall of renovation money can come from is out of your profits. This makes your initial budget extremely important.

This initial budget also what tells you whether the property works or not as a profitable flip. When you are calculating numbers on a flip project, it is very important to know what the property should sell for when complete. This number is known in the industry as the After Repair Value or ARV. Once you know the ARV, subtract your purchase price and everything left is your budget and your profit.

The remaining number tells you immediately whether the property is worth pursuing further. Using our $400,000 property above as an example, consider the following scenario. After totalling up the price of a new granite kitchen with ultra high-end appliances, installing new hardwood throughout, gutting the basement and rebuilding a fabulous bar, media room, workout room downstairs you have come up with a renovation budget of $75,000 and a timeline of six months. In addition, your holding costs for the six months work out to be just under $14,000.

Now if nothing in the area you are buying has ever sold for more than $499,000 your six months worth of work will net you $11,000 profit if you sell it at full price. Unless of course you use a Realtor, then after commissions, you are sitting at almost an $8,000 loss. So does the property not work then?

This is a perfect time to review your proposed plan, cut back on the renovations to improve the place, but not make it the ultimate home and rework the numbers. If you end up simply replacing the kitchen cabinet doors, install new counter tops, do a combination of hardwood and vinyl, simplify your basement renovations and come up with a new budget of $30,000 and a time line of three months, what happens? You have taken an $8,000 loss and turned it into a potential $43,000 profit. Which isn’t a bad profit for three month’s work.

I hope this has helped open your eyes a bit to the aspect of Financing when it comes to Flipping a property. The next section I write will be covering “Finding a Property”, so watch for it next week. As always, questions are welcome!

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Newspaper article

Just a quick update on another new forum for my Real Estate articles. Starting next week I will be writing a weekly newspaper article for the Chestermere Anchor.

Chestermere is located just outside of Calgary and is a very popular place to live. Hopefully I get some good feedback from my articles. I know I have a couple subscribers out in Chestermere, so let me know how it looks.

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Flipping Houses Part 1, Introduction

When you break the whole process down it comes to the following four stages, which we will call the four F’s,

Finances
Finding a Property
Fixing
Flipping

The stages are not necessarily in the order they always happen and you may not even have to go through all of the stages. We have found properties that are absolute gems, but we did not have money in place to purchase them. This left us in the position where we put offers on before getting our finances in place, or we would lose them. This adds a considerable amount of stress and is not a recommended strategy for the beginner.

One property we found required no work, the owners just needed out quickly and they provided us with a portion of their equity allowing us to move directly to the flipping stage. We bypassed the fixing stage entirely.

We have also had multiple situations where we have even placed offers on properties with extended possession dates, early access and the right to sell the property before our original deal closes. This has allowed us to skip the entire financing stage, although we did have to come up with the initial purchase deposit and the renovation money. This has worked out perfectly several times, while other deals we have had to go back to the sellers and negotiate an extension to the close date. Alas, this too does not always work, as we did have to get financing on one property. Guess you cannot win them all!

The point being, use these stages as a guideline, not hard and fast rules. If you move forward and begin flipping properties on your own hopefully, you will have plenty of time to arrange financing. Have weeks to evaluate the budgets and numbers to ensure a property will be profitable. Will have crews begging to work for you and get the job done as quickly as possible and then your beautiful masterpiece sells at the very first Open House.

Of course, in the real world financing falls through, it can take months to find a property that works, but then you find three that are all ideal at once, the contractors you line up suddenly cannot commit, and your property doesn’t sell for months. That is all part of the game though and being able to deal with all of the hiccups along the way makes you more prepared for the next property. Remember it isn’t if you have hiccups, it is when.  Next week we will break down the Financing stage, if you have any comments in the meantime, please let us know.

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So you want to get into Real Estate?

Kim and I were sitting at an Open House today and she was explaining to me how many people are interested in what she does (Kim is a co-owner of Essential Properties, one of the companies KatSid is a 50% owner of). They too want to buy properties and make more money in a few weeks than they did last year (sorry for stealing your tag line Property Ladder).

Ironically very few of the people she meets and who are very interested in what we do ever email her or call her to get more information. Here they have the chance to pick the brain of someone who has flipped several properties with us, owns several rental properties and has us as a source of even more experience. They have the advantage many other investors wish they could have had when they started. Advice from someone who has been there and done that!

Well would it help if I wrote some advice about flipping properties for you to read on line? Perhaps the type of information you were afraid to ask for, but would love to read about? Or maybe you might come out of your shell, register and write me a comment about what YOU THE READERS want to know about?

I will start later this week with my first post on how to get started in the flipping game, and then every week I will add another post. After a few weeks, hopefully you can make a slightly more educated decision as to whether this is something you want to get started in, or you want to leave the flipping to the professionals and hang onto your day jobs.

Remember, if you enjoy the posts, don’t keep them a secret, share it with everyone you know would also be interested!

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A day in the life of a Real Estate Investor

Ok, first a reality check, this isn’t very glamourous today!

6:30 Alarm goes off, listent to news, think about day

7:40 finally get out of bed (we shouldn’t have stayed up to 12:30 watching a movie , love True Lies though)

8:30 drinking coffee, eating a bagel, checking web page stats and emails.

11:00 finished emails, planning of the day, start preparing for going out

11:30 Home Depot, picking up supplies for days work

12:00 back home, load up items for site work

12:15 off to property

12:40 detour, Aaron called Karen, problems in Riverbend house, so I stop by to take a look at the dry rot. Aaron suggests we pull the boards off and replace, I agree, and away I go

12:55 Arrive at site, start unloading supplies, spend next four plus hours cleaning floors, counters, appliances setting up tv’s, cleaning grout and bathroom, wiring lights in bathroom, changing door knobs, moving washer and dryer into place and compiling list of items I need onsite next day.

5:45 stop at Co-op buy items for dinner

6:10 Prepare dinner while Karen is busy helping Children organize their play area ( I like cooking, so it is relaxing, plus I found a bottle of red wine to go with the spaghetti, it accidently opened while I was cooking)

7:30 Spaghetti is served

8:15 kids heading to bed, I finish watching a Do it Yourself show on TV

9:00 Karen still trying to get kids in bed, I check emails and start blogging

Glamourous isn’t it!!!

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Buying Properties

We bought a property on Friday, and I think we’ll put an offer on another tomorrow.  Anyone want to join in? – posted by Karen

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Another Upgrader Project

As I am listening to the news this morning, I hear there is over $40,000,000,000 in energy projects that have been announced in only the last two weeks! The one project is Shell’s Upgrader in Fort Saskatchewan in an area known as Upgrader Alley, due to all of the Upgraders being built in the area.

This is a $27,000,000,000 (these are billions folks!) project that isn’t even going to start until 2009. When companies of this size are prepared to write checks of this magnitude you have to be aware what Alberta is currently going through is huge. The Real Estate market and the economy have many more years of growth left and this is just a small indicator of what is still coming!  

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